User:SK100: Difference between revisions

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== SK100--Last sighting ==
[[File:SK100_2016.jpg]]
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== The End of Malton? ==
== The End of Malton? ==
This page is not finished. 
It looks to me like, in April, 2011, some person or group set out to destroy Urban Dead.  They have registered thousands of new players, mostly as zombies.  Since then, the balance that kept Malton swinging back and forth for years has dramatically shifted against survivors. As of this writing, the ratio of zombies to humans is 84% Zombies, 16% survivors.
I started looking at the statistics and making notes about what I saw, and here are a few observations and speculations. 
'''Observations'''
* During the week from 3/31/2011 to 4/6/2011, there was a sudden upswing in the number of zombies without a corresponding downswing in the number of survivors.  About 2,000 new zombies.  See chart  below.
* The number of active players had remained right around 17,000 give or take 1,000 for about a year.  At midnight, March 30, there were 16,091 active players, 7997 survivors, 4593 zombies. By midnight of April 4, there were 19409 active players, 7986 survivors, and 6992 zombies. That's about 2,400 new zombies in five days. Since then, the survivor population has been in catastrophic decline. See the game statistics log: [http://www.urbandead.com/stats.csv Game Statistics Log]
* As best as I can determine, there are normally between three and four thousand players who register each week; however, most of them lose interest quickly. It is highly unusual for there to be two thousand new ''active'' players in a week.
* On 5/11, I witnessed a break-in at an NT facility, in which eleven zeds participated. Eight were members of the group, [[The Dead 2.0 | The Dead]]. Five of those had registered during this period. All the feral participants were much older. So I got curious.
   
   
* I investigated [[The Dead]]. It is listed as defunct, but it seems to also have over 1,600 members, which is ten times more than any other group. Its historic page records an attempt in 2008 "to slaughter every last survivor in Malton." Its new page is uninformative.
* The average skill level of this group is 15--the lowest of almost any group. This suggests that most of the members are very new.
* A random sample of suburb wiki pages reveals that it seems to be present in every suburb.
'''Speculations'''


It looks to me like, in April, 2011, some person or group set out to destroy Urban Dead. They have registered many thousands of new players, probably through the use of bots, but most of the new players are inactive.  However, about two thousand of them did become active as zombies. Since then, the balance that kept Malton swinging back and forth for years has dramatically shifted against survivors.  
Is something going on? Clearly. Is there cheating? Possibly. It could be purely coincidental that 2400 people independently decided to actively play as zombies during a single week. Or it could be that a dedicated handful are managing one hundred characters apiece. Without waterboarding, we may never know.  


I started looking at the statistics and making notes about what I saw, and here are a few observations and conclusions.
Various explanations come to mind about the motivation behind this wave of activity. It could be a lust for notoriety. It could be vengeance. My favorite idea is that it could be corporate sabotage: some online gaming company wants to take down the free competition, so they have hired a staff of minimum-wage flunkies to break the game. Alas, we can't blame it on bin Laden any more.  


* The group responsible is ''The Dead''. 
Graphic evidence of something crazy going on:
* It has over 1,600 members, which is ten times more than any other group.
* A random sample of suburb wiki pages reveals that it is in every suburb.
* No matter how many real humans are behind the movement, the zergers must surely have too many characters to handle effectively.
* Since members of The Dead are in every suburb, they can probably spy on and squelch any attempt to organize a counterstrike.


Various explanations come to mind about the motivation behind this wave of cheating. It could be a lust for notoriety.  It could be vengeance. My favorite speculation is that it could be corporate sabotage: some online gaming company wants to take down the free competition.  
[[File:April 2011.jpg]]




Whatever the explanation, I propose the following solution.  
<!-- Whatever the explanation, I propose a plan of counterattack.  


To see my solution, you must have the password, which will change every few days.  Take the encrypted message below and paste it into the textbox at http://infoencrypt.com. Type in the password twice and read the message. Members of the group Squadron1111 know the password.  If you are a legitimate pro-survivor, one of them will tell you what it is.  
To see my suggestion, you must have the password, which will change every few days.  Take the encrypted message below and paste it into the textbox at http://infoencrypt.com. Type in the password twice and read the message.  




Start encrypted message--  
Start message--  


No message yet.  
No message yet.  


--End encrypted message
--End message
-->

Latest revision as of 02:25, 16 February 2016

SK100--Last sighting

SK100 2016.jpg



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